Arosa vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
PON
1 - 0
ARO
76%
16%
7%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
ARO
0 - 7
DEP
6%
17%
77%
|
29 | 82 | 53 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 0
ARO
52%
25%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ARO
2 - 3
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ORD
0 - 2
ARO
9%
20%
71%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
OUR
42%
26%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
UDO
0 - 0
OUR
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
OUR
2 - 1
GON
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CDV
3 - 4
OUR
25%
24%
50%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
OUR
1 - 0
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |