Arosa vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
54.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ARO
2 - 5
COM
14%
22%
65%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
CER
4 - 1
ARO
67%
20%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ARO
1 - 3
NAR
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ORD
5 - 0
ARO
45%
26%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ARO
2 - 4
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ALO
1 - 0
CDO
25%
28%
48%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
CDO
1 - 1
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
COX
0 - 1
CDO
22%
27%
51%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CDO
4 - 0
BOU
81%
14%
6%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 0
CDO
18%
24%
59%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | -1 |