Arosa vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
46.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
POR
2 - 0
ARO
36%
29%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ARO
1 - 0
LAL
27%
28%
45%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
VER
1 - 1
ARO
36%
29%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
ARO
0 - 1
NEG
35%
29%
35%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
LAR
1 - 1
ARO
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
LUG
1 - 0
DEP
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
BET
1 - 2
LUG
25%
28%
47%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 1
BER
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
NAR
1 - 0
LUG
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 2
COX
67%
21%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |