Arosa vs Céltiga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
POL
3 - 2
ARO
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ARO
0 - 0
OUR
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 2
SOM
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
RIB
0 - 4
ARO
25%
25%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 2
RCV
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 5
COM
15%
21%
65%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
UPH
1 - 3
CEL
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SIL
3 - 1
CEL
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 3
ALO
18%
23%
60%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
CEL
84%
12%
4%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |