Aroche CF vs Gibraleón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ARO
3 - 2
RIO
51%
23%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 1
ARO
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
ARO
6 - 2
BOL
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CDP
3 - 1
ARO
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ARO
3 - 3
ICR
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gibraleón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
HIN
2 - 0
OCF
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
OCF
1 - 1
RIO
51%
26%
23%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
EBR
0 - 0
OCF
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
OCF
1 - 2
VAL
60%
23%
18%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CAM
1 - 0
OCF
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |