Aroche CF vs Moguer CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
ARO
38%
25%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ARO
4 - 1
CAN
74%
17%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ARO
1 - 1
CRU
43%
26%
32%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
HIN
2 - 0
ARO
53%
24%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ARO
1 - 2
CDP
54%
23%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
POZ
4 - 3
MOG
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MOG
3 - 2
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
MOG
2 - 0
CAN
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CRU
0 - 0
MOG
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
MOG
2 - 1
HIN
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |