Aroche CF vs Moguer CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
ARO
0 - 1
CAM
18%
23%
59%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
ARO
2 - 4
LAP
15%
21%
63%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
SRQ
2 - 1
ARO
80%
14%
6%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
ARO
4 - 0
CDP
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
ARO
3 - 2
CDF
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
CAM
1 - 1
MOG
51%
26%
23%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
MOG
3 - 0
CRU
56%
23%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
MOG
2 - 1
OCF
55%
23%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
MOG
3 - 0
CDF
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +3 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
FUE
2 - 4
MOG
20%
23%
57%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |