Arnett Gardens vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
ARN
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 1
CAV
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 0
LIO
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 1
HAR
48%
26%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
ARN
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
AUG
0 - 1
SPO
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
HAR
35%
29%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 2
CAV
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 2
TRI
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |