Arnett Gardens vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
WAT
2 - 1
ARN
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 1
CAV
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
ARN
49%
29%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
ARN
0 - 1
BOY
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
HIG
1 - 2
ARN
39%
30%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAV
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 0
WAT
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAV
0 - 4
SPO
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 3
POR
29%
28%
44%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BOY
4 - 2
SPO
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |