Army vs Sl Navy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SLP
0 - 2
ARM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
ARM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ARM
1 - 0
DBO
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ARM
3 - 1
BLU
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
REN
2 - 0
ARM
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sl Navy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 0
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DBO
2 - 1
NAV
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
REN
0 - 0
NAV
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NAV
3 - 0
BLU
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 1
RSC
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |