Army vs Pelicans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 4
ARM
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
ARM
2 - 1
YOU
60%
20%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ARM
3 - 0
SAU
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
RED
5 - 0
ARM
33%
24%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ARM
1 - 0
REN
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pelicans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PEL
3 - 1
SAU
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 0
PEL
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
PEL
0 - 2
YOU
34%
21%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
PEL
1 - 1
NEG
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
COU
2 - 0
PEL
51%
21%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |