Army vs Negombo Youth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.2%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
NAV
1 - 1
ARM
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
ARM
1 - 1
PEL
79%
14%
8%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 4
ARM
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
ARM
2 - 1
YOU
60%
20%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ARM
3 - 0
SAU
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Negombo Youth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
NEG
0 - 1
FOR
39%
23%
37%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
RED
7 - 1
NEG
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
NEG
2 - 4
RSC
24%
20%
57%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
NEG
1 - 2
JAV
72%
15%
13%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
PEL
1 - 1
NEG
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |