Army vs Civil Security Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
COU
0 - 2
ARM
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
ARM
46%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ARM
6 - 0
BLU
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
ARM
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 1
REN
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Civil Security Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CSF
0 - 7
NEG
44%
22%
33%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
BLU
2 - 0
CSF
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
CSF
0 - 3
COL
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
SOL
6 - 0
CSF
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CSF
0 - 2
COU
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |