Army XI vs Tollygunge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Army XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
ARM
5 - 1
POL
74%
16%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 2
SOU
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
BNR
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
MBS
4 - 2
ARM
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
ARM
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tollygunge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
BNR
0 - 0
TOL
12%
18%
71%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 0
TOL
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
32%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
MOH
3 - 5
TOL
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
TEC
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |