Army Red FC vs Tollygunge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Army Red FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
EAR
1 - 3
ARF
46%
22%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SUR
3 - 0
ARF
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BSS
0 - 5
ARF
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ARF
0 - 6
DHF
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
PCF
1 - 1
ARF
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tollygunge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MEA
3 - 0
TOL
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EAR
3 - 0
TOL
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
POL
3 - 0
TOL
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KMS
3 - 0
TOL
84%
12%
4%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SEC
3 - 0
TOL
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |