FA Cup Previa 1
Global 4-6
Armthorpe Welfare vs Liversedge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
73.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armthorpe Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
ARM
0 - 9
DON
5%
12%
83%
|
12 | 60 | 48 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 2
HAN
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 6
BUX
15%
21%
64%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 4
ARM
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
NEW
24%
21%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Liversedge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 5
GUI
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HOL
4 - 0
LIV
13%
18%
69%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | -3 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
6 - 0
LIV
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |