Armthorpe Welfare vs Glossop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
70.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glossop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
HUL
2 - 0
GLO
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
GLO
1 - 1
STO
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
FUL
2 - 0
GLO
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
LEY
5 - 2
GLO
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
GLO
0 - 2
WOL
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |