Arminia Bielefeld vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1978 |
BOC
1 - 0
ARB
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
ARB
1 - 3
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1978 |
MSV
3 - 1
ARB
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
MON
4 - 1
ARB
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
ARB
0 - 2
BYM
34%
25%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
STU
3 - 1
EIN
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
S04
2 - 3
STU
61%
21%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
STU
4 - 1
BAS
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
S04
3 - 2
STU
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
STU
2 - 0
MSV
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |