Arminia Bielefeld vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
EBT
2 - 3
ARB
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1986 |
ARB
2 - 3
WAT
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1986 |
KÖL
0 - 0
ARB
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
WAT
1 - 2
ARB
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1986 |
ARB
2 - 0
KSC
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
SCF
2 - 1
AAA
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1986 |
SCF
1 - 0
STP
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1986 |
EBT
2 - 0
SCF
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
SCF
3 - 1
USO
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
HER
1 - 1
SCF
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |