Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EBT
1 - 0
ARB
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
ARB
2 - 1
MSV
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 1
MTK
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 1
GRO
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 0
S04
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 4
KAI
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
SVS
1 - 0
PAD
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
THU
0 - 0
PAD
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
BIE
4 - 3
PAD
24%
22%
54%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
PAD
0 - 0
F95
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |