Arminia Bielefeld vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2020 |
HOL
1 - 2
ARB
32%
25%
44%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2020 |
HSV
0 - 0
ARB
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2020 |
ARB
1 - 1
OSN
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
STU
1 - 1
ARB
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ARB
1 - 0
WEH
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2020 |
FCN
0 - 0
BOC
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2020 |
SSV
2 - 2
FCN
40%
25%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 1
ERZ
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2020 |
STP
1 - 0
FCN
35%
26%
40%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
FCN
0 - 3
HAN
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |