Arminia Bielefeld vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 2
STU
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 1
ARB
74%
17%
10%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ARB
2 - 1
KSC
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SGF
1 - 0
ARB
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
F95
2 - 0
ARB
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
FCN
2 - 1
SLI
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HAN
3 - 1
FCN
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FCN
1 - 2
HOF
42%
26%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BVB
2 - 0
FCN
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
FCN
0 - 0
M05
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |