Arminia Bielefeld vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
4 - 0
ARB
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 2
STP
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
FCU
4 - 2
ARB
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ARB
4 - 1
SGF
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 1
SGD
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
ING
2 - 0
MUN
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
KSC
1 - 1
ING
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2013 |
ING
1 - 2
KAI
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ING
41%
27%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
COT
1 - 2
ING
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |