Arminia Bielefeld vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
KSC
1 - 0
ARB
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
ARB
1 - 4
SGF
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
ARB
0 - 2
F95
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
ROT
3 - 0
ARB
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ARB
2 - 1
OSN
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
AAA
0 - 0
F95
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
ROT
1 - 2
AAA
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
AAA
1 - 3
AUG
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ERZ
2 - 1
AAA
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AAA
2 - 2
MSV
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |