Arminia Bielefeld vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
COT
1 - 2
ARB
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ARB
2 - 1
FCU
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
M05
0 - 2
ARB
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ARB
3 - 1
EIN
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
WAC
0 - 1
ARB
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
AAA
4 - 2
FCU
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
EIN
3 - 3
AAA
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
AAA
1 - 0
SSV
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
UNT
1 - 1
AAA
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
AAA
1 - 0
MON
33%
26%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |