Arminia Bielefeld vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
MAG
0 - 0
ARB
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ARB
5 - 3
SSV
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
HSV
3 - 0
ARB
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
LAS
0 - 5
ARB
3%
7%
90%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ARB
2 - 1
SGD
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
FCU
2 - 2
MSV
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
FCU
3 - 3
GCZ
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SVS
0 - 0
FCU
23%
25%
53%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FCU
4 - 1
STP
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CZJ
2 - 4
FCU
16%
19%
65%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |