Arminia Bielefeld U19 vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+131%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ARM
2 - 3
SGW
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ALA
2 - 8
ARM
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ARM
6 - 0
MON
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FOR
3 - 4
ARM
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ARM
2 - 4
DUI
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ALA
2 - 3
ESS
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ESS
3 - 3
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 3
ESS
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ESS
3 - 3
BOR
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
BON
2 - 1
ESS
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |