Arminia Bielefeld II vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VFB
2 - 1
ABI
25%
23%
53%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BER
5 - 1
ABI
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
HUL
2 - 3
ABI
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ABI
6 - 0
KFC
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
4 - 4
ABI
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SPE
0 - 3
MSV
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SPE
0 - 0
WER
71%
17%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 3
SWE
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
SPE
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SPE
3 - 1
DOR
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |