Arminia Bielefeld II vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 2
ABI
61%
21%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ABI
4 - 2
DOR
82%
12%
5%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SPE
4 - 1
ABI
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ABI
1 - 1
VFB
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 2
ABI
41%
25%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 0
MSV
43%
26%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VIK
2 - 0
SWE
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 1
WER
62%
22%
17%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 1
SWE
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
4 - 0
SWE
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |