Arminia Bielefeld II vs Paderborn 07 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ABI
2 - 1
SPR
27%
24%
48%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LIP
2 - 0
ABI
74%
16%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ABI
2 - 0
ERH
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
HAM
3 - 1
ABI
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ABI
2 - 1
ENN
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paderborn 07 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 2
SPR
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
NEU
2 - 3
PAD
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
PAD
1 - 2
WER
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ERK
2 - 1
PAD
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 2
STA
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |