Arminia Bielefeld II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ABI
4 - 0
MSV
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 1
ABI
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ABI
0 - 3
ESS
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
KLE
3 - 2
ABI
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 2
ABI
36%
24%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
KÖL
2 - 0
SWE
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 1
KÖL
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
KÖL
3 - 1
KLE
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 4
KÖL
22%
22%
56%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 4
WHE
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |