Armenia U21 vs Gales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armenia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ARM
0 - 2
CZE
19%
22%
60%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
CZE
1 - 1
ARM
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AND
0 - 1
ARM
24%
22%
54%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
ARM
4 - 1
MNE
39%
25%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
GEO
0 - 2
ARM
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 1
CZE
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 0
MNE
53%
23%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
MNE
3 - 1
WAL
35%
24%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 2
HUN
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
AND
0 - 1
WAL
22%
23%
56%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |