Armed Police Force vs Tribhuvan Army analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armed Police Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
APF
2 - 2
MFC
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
APF
2 - 1
RCT
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
APF
2 - 1
HIS
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
STA
2 - 1
APF
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 2
APF
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tribhuvan Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 1
ARM
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
ARM
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 1
FRC
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
ARM
1 - 1
POL
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 1
SAY
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |