Armed Forces vs Steve Biko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
25.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armed Forces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 1
ARM
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ARM
2 - 1
GPA
44%
29%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
ARM
43%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
WAL
0 - 1
ARM
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ARM
2 - 0
SER
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Steve Biko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
STE
0 - 0
SER
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
REA
2 - 1
STE
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
STE
1 - 1
HAW
48%
29%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAK
0 - 1
STE
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
STE
2 - 0
WAL
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |