Armagh City vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DOL
1 - 2
ARC
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 2
ARC
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
LIM
2 - 1
ARC
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 1
MOY
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LIS
0 - 0
ARC
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
DOL
22%
21%
57%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
MOY
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COA
3 - 0
POR
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
POR
3 - 1
PSN
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
BAN
27%
22%
51%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |