Armagh City vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
12º
11º
21
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 2
ARC
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 2
LIS
36%
24%
41%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 3
PSN
80%
12%
8%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 1
DOL
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ARC
0 - 3
BAN
15%
20%
65%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
POR
0 - 2
LIM
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 1
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRF
1 - 2
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
MOY
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
4 - 0
POR
85%
11%
5%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |