Armagh City vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
TOB
4 - 2
ARC
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MOY
2 - 3
ARC
39%
25%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 0
AUN
27%
23%
51%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
DOL
0 - 1
ARC
43%
24%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 1
QUB
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
POR
0 - 1
LCE
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
AUN
3 - 1
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
NEY
2 - 1
POR
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
ARC
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MCI
1 - 0
POR
7%
12%
82%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | -1 |