Armagh City vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MOY
0 - 1
ARC
26%
23%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ARC
2 - 1
QUB
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BAN
4 - 2
ARC
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ARC
3 - 1
WAK
40%
24%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ARC
7 - 1
BMF
35%
26%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 3
BMF
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
6 - 2
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
CCF
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AUN
3 - 1
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LCE
5 - 2
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |