Armagh City vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
ARC
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 3
BAN
33%
24%
44%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ARC
5 - 1
PSN
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
TOB
0 - 1
ARC
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 1
NEY
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LIS
0 - 0
TOB
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MOY
1 - 4
LIS
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
LIS
2 - 3
DOL
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 1
LIS
70%
17%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
LIS
2 - 1
PSN
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |