Armagh City vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MOY
2 - 2
ARC
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ARC
0 - 6
HAR
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
AUN
0 - 2
ARC
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ARC
3 - 2
SYL
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ARC
0 - 1
MOY
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DOL
0 - 1
LIS
23%
22%
55%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
LAR
3 - 0
LIS
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
LIS
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
SYL
0 - 5
LIS
11%
17%
71%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LIS
0 - 0
AUN
40%
24%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |