Armagh City vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
LAR
3 - 1
ARC
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
GLE
6 - 0
ARC
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 2
GLE
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
ARC
4 - 3
COL
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 3
ARC
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
LIS
1 - 2
GLE
51%
24%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIS
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LIS
3 - 0
LOU
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
LIS
1 - 0
LAR
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
DON
2 - 1
LIS
19%
24%
57%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |