Armagh City vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
DUN
5 - 1
ARC
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 2
BAL
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 0
LIM
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
ARC
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 3
LIN
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LIS
1 - 0
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 1
LIS
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
LIS
1 - 2
CLI
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2007 |
LIN
5 - 1
LIS
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 3
LIS
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |