Armagh City vs Knockbreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ARC
2 - 0
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MOY
0 - 1
ARC
26%
23%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ARC
2 - 1
QUB
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BAN
4 - 2
ARC
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ARC
3 - 1
WAK
40%
24%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
KNO
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 4
KNO
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
KNO
6 - 1
AUN
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
4 - 1
KNO
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
KRF
1 - 3
KNO
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | +1 |