Armagh City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
DON
3 - 0
ARC
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
ARC
2 - 5
LAR
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 1
ARC
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ARC
0 - 1
DUN
34%
27%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 0
ARC
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
POR
21%
25%
55%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 0
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
20%
24%
57%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
58%
22%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
INS
0 - 0
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |