Armagh City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 0
COL
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
GLE
2 - 2
ARC
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
ARC
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 2
GLE
35%
26%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
ARC
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
GLE
3 - 2
INS
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
INS
1 - 0
COL
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
INS
66%
18%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
ARC
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |