Armagh City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
BAL
1 - 0
ARC
42%
24%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
ARC
0 - 3
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
LAR
2 - 1
ARC
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARC
42%
24%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
ARC
1 - 1
BAN
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
BAN
0 - 2
INS
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
LIM
1 - 4
INS
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
INS
2 - 4
LIS
49%
24%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
BAL
0 - 0
INS
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | -1 |