Armagh City vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CLI
3 - 0
ARC
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
COL
4 - 0
ARC
67%
19%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARC
70%
19%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ARC
1 - 3
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
ARC
0 - 1
CLI
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
DUN
3 - 2
COL
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
CLI
0 - 0
DUN
31%
25%
43%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARC
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
DUN
0 - 0
CLI
58%
22%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
COL
0 - 1
DUN
33%
23%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |