Armagh City vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
LIN
5 - 0
ARC
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
ARC
2 - 2
POR
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 1
ARC
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
ARD
0 - 2
ARC
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ARC
0 - 1
BAL
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
POR
2 - 3
DUN
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
DUN
2 - 3
LIN
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
BAL
4 - 3
DUN
40%
25%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
DUN
2 - 2
LIS
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
LIM
1 - 1
DUN
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |