Armagh City vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
GLE
1 - 0
ARC
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ARC
0 - 2
GLE
11%
17%
72%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
LIS
1 - 0
ARC
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ARC
3 - 2
LAR
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 3
LIS
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CRU
0 - 2
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
CRU
0 - 0
DON
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 0
LIM
62%
20%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CLI
1 - 0
CRU
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
LIM
4 - 5
CRU
40%
25%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |