Armagh City vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
64.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
12º
11º
53
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
QUB
2 - 1
ARC
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BRF
2 - 2
ARC
77%
14%
8%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LIM
2 - 1
ARC
68%
18%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
3 - 3
ARC
27%
22%
52%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 2
MOY
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 2
CRU
17%
19%
64%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 0
BAN
8%
16%
77%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PSN
1 - 2
BAN
7%
14%
79%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
MOY
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAN
4 - 0
TRF
92%
6%
2%
|
55 | 14 | 41 | 0 |